Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 6.780111 7.522480 8.381168 9.466054 10.828373 12.524786 14.872688
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 6.228293 7.263890 8.583336 10.463334 13.224489 17.449147 25.307328
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 5.973948 7.301954 9.163038 12.186309 17.587585 28.907188 69.103586
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 5.338493 6.715297 8.765369 12.413590 20.031304 41.986919 359.603749
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 5.051724 6.574736 9.017936 13.928849 26.991778 105.263781 NaN
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 4.738137 6.341809 9.083323 15.258815 36.899685 2168.209426 NaN
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 4.317679 5.872628 8.632395 15.314389 44.221244 NaN NaN
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.923874 5.393790 8.069047 14.883716 49.891282 NaN NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 3.834564 5.420792 8.511821 17.650092 112.350623 NaN NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.878962 5.697798 9.607088 24.433093 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.777330 5.686727 10.070877 30.378571 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.628743 5.559513 10.213736 35.775469 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.387722 5.246411 9.866284 38.483435 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.179010 4.973625 9.568067 41.915513 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.052048 4.859004 9.731388 54.311965 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.812122 4.464968 8.885691 47.558645 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.686487 4.311494 8.801791 56.323078 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.556868 4.132621 8.583173 63.105487 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.392813 3.857854 7.963862 55.638607 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.236071 3.587548 7.318562 46.575050 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.190944 3.567711 7.548361 65.825975 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.196881 3.667973 8.280805 182.572353 NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.150829 3.637448 8.505446 598.742635 NaN NaN NaN